DDS

Dillard's, Inc.

210.00
USD
-4.79%
210.00
USD
-4.79%
160.51 416.71
52 weeks
52 weeks

Mkt Cap 3.49B

Shares Out 16.63M

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Bull Of The Day: Dillard's, Inc.

Dillard’s (DDS), a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), is a long-term stock market winner within the Zacks Retail – Wholesale sector. After becoming severely undervalued when the pandemic initially hit, the stock has surged more than 1,400% since the March 2020 market bottom and is showing no signs of slowing down. DDS sports the highest-possible ‘A’ rating in both our Zacks Growth and Momentum Style Score categories, indicating an increased likelihood that the stock continues to propel higher. The powerful combination of positive earnings estimate revisions and strong price momentum should serve bullish DDS investors well into the future. Dillard’s is a component of the Zacks Retail – Regional Department Stores industry, which currently ranks in the top 8% out of approximately 250 industry groups. Because it is ranked in the top half of all Zacks Ranked Industries, we expect this group to outperform the market over the next 3 to 6 months. Also note this industry is relatively undervalued: Image Source: Zacks Investment Research Quantitative research studies suggest that approximately half of a stock’s future price appreciation is due to its industry grouping. By targeting stocks contained within leading industry groups, we can dramatically improve our odds of success. Company Description Dillard’s operates retail department stores where it offers merchandise, cosmetics, home furnishings, and other consumer goods. DDS is also one of the nation’s largest fashion retailers. The company operates approximately 280 stores as well as an online presence. Dillard’s was founded in 1938 and is headquartered in Little Rock, AR. DDS is much more than just a department store chain. The company also owns a real estate investment trust (REIT), which helps it to enhance its liquidity position. Dillard’s also owns a captive insurance company, enabling it to manage risks more efficiently and provide access to reinsurance markets. The retailer is also engaged in the general contracting construction business. Recent Earnings and Future Estimates DDS has been on a hot streak in terms of earnings surprises, beating estimates for eight quarters in a row. Just last week, the company reported Q1 EPS of $13.37, a +149.44% surprise over the $5.36 consensus estimate. Dillard’s has posted a trailing four-quarter average earnings surprise of +224.13%. When a company is consistently exceeding estimates by this wide of a margin, it typically creates a ‘tailwind’ and boosts price momentum. Sales for the first quarter of $1.61 billion also topped estimates by 4.12%. DDS has surpassed revenue estimates in each of the last five quarters. In the past week, analysts have raised their full-year EPS projections by +30.66%. The Zacks Consensus EPS Estimate now stands at $23.44 per share. Revenues are anticipated to climb 6.13% to $6.89 billion. Charting the Course DDS is up nearly 34% this year alone, widely outperforming the major indices. Only stocks that are in extremely powerful uptrends are able to weather bear markets and corrections so gracefully. This is the kind of stock we want to include in our portfolio – one that is trending well and receiving positive earnings estimate revisions. (Click on image to enlarge) Image Source: StockCharts Notice how the 10-month moving average (as evidenced by the blue line) is sloping up. The stock is making a series of higher highs and is showing relative strength versus the market. With both strong fundamentals and technicals, DDS has been one of the biggest winners over the past several years. Empirical research shows a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions. And as we know, Dillard’s has seen a recent batch of positive revisions. As long as this trend remains intact (and DDS continues to post earnings beats), the stock should continue its bullish run this year. Other Factors to Consider Dillard’s remains focused on maintaining a strong balance sheet and liquidity. The company owns 90% of its retail stores and 100% of its corporate headquarters, distribution and fulfillment facilities. DDS has relatively low long-term debt obligations. Management recently approved a $500 million share repurchase plan. Additionally, Dillard’s board increased its quarterly dividend to 20 cents/share, equating to a yield of 0.25%. Bottom Line As an established veteran in the industry, Dillard’s core business remains strong despite competitive challenges. Buoyed by an undervalued and leading industry group along with a maximum overall Zacks VGM score of ‘A’, it’s not difficult to see why DDS is a compelling investment. A history of large earnings surprises along with a strong technical trend certainly warrant a closer look at this top-rated stock. Recent positive earnings estimate revisions should also serve to create a ‘floor’ in terms of any sudden or unexpected downside moves. If you’re looking for a way to diversify your portfolio, make sure to put DDS on your shortlist. Disclaimer: Neither Zacks Investment Research, Inc. nor its Information Providers can guarantee the accuracy, completeness, timeliness, or correct sequencing of any of the Information on the Web ... more

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